Blake Morrow’s Chart of The Day – August 18th 2021

NZDUSD
Last Thursday the Kiwi was out “Chart of the Day” and we had highlighted the triangle that was forming in the range. Today we broke lower as the USD gained strength and took the NZDUSD back to the .6900 level support, but now with the RBNZ in a few hours the risk could be building. The market has been buying the NZD currency as the market is expecting a rate hike. But how many more hikes this year can we expect? If the market feels the RBNZ is a “one and done” for 2021 we could see the pair drop a big figure to the July 2019 and Sept 2020 highs near the .6800 level. Bulls should be careful, especially after today’s move. A move out of the June/August range lower would catch bulls off guard.

Blake Morrow