Richard Thaler & Cade Massey on the NFL Draft, Misbehaving GM’s, & Exploiting Inefficiencies
Today’s special episode is to prepare you for the NFL draft next week. Nobel laureate Richard Thaler is back with Wharton’s Cade Massey to talk about their paper on the NFL draft that even the GOAT Bill Belichick read.
The guys share what they learned years ago – NFL teams overvalue the top picks, shouldn’t trade up, and even after all the scouting teams do, their ability to pick the best player at any pick is about the same as flipping a coin. We talk about why the Bears won the trade against the Panthers this year, what they think about Mr. Irrelevant Brock Purdy’s success last year, and the future of data analytics in sports.
As we wind down, we dive into why this inefficiency still exists after they published a paper almost 20 years ago and how teams battle some of the same issues asset managers face – career risk, impatient stakeholders, and model aversion.
Today’s episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. YCharts offers a suite of intuitive tools, including numerous visualizations, comprehensive security screeners, portfolio construction, communication outputs, and market monitoring. To start your free trial and be sure to mention “MEB” for 20% off your subscription here: https://go.ycharts.com/meb2023 (New clients only)
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