Mish’s Daily: Economic Modern Family Member Wildcard: Biotechnology

3 weeks ago 135 views 4 min read

Michele “Mish” Schneider

Director of Trading and Education

MarketGauge.com

Mish’s Daily: Economic Modern Family Member Wildcard: Biotechnology

Written by Michele ‘Mish’ Schneider

Over the weekend I warned about the weakness in the Semiconductor sector (SMH).

I also wrote about Granny Retail XRT, and how important it is for that sector to stay alive.

Both SMH and XRT are not giving bulls warm and fuzzies.

In fact, outside of the gold and silver futures, there is not much to be cheerful about.

However, since it is Technical Monday, and the Family offers us a great technical guide, I am focusing right now on Biotechnology IBB.

While the current chart (weekly) does not make us jump up and down for joy, it does at least offer us some levels to watch for opportunities.

On the weekly chart above, IBB is breaking under the 200-week moving average.

That is not exactly a good sign. However, since it is a weekly chart, it is the price this coming Friday that will be most important.

On the Daily chart, the momentum and the price are declining together.

The price shows huge support at 130.

IBB is on par with the S&P 500 on the Leadership indicator. While IBB struggles it is still above the January 6-month calendar range low (red horizontal line). Should 130 hold, we can look for a reversal.

The best news is that this sector still has a chance.

Looking at the longer timeframe, monthly, IBB is maintaining its move above the 23-month moving average (blue).

Essentially, I chose to write about this sector as we see a lot of support between 130-135. Hence, should IBB hold and turn upward, there is a very low risk and potentially high reward.

Educational purposes only, not official trading advice.

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